We would like to provide input into this process and submit the following ideas for consideration:

1) NCS should provide a suite of models/data inputs (e.g., agreed emissions scenarios) that states can use for planning purposes (e.g., water supply planning)
 Downscaling/regionalization/localization of climate-related models – sea level rise, precipitation, and temperature projections, impacts on water quality and quantity, as well as vulnerability of native rare plants, animals and habitat/ecological systems to these projected changes.
 Regionalized inputs/parameters for precipitation, sea level rise and temperature, and impacts on water quality and quantity.
 Guidance on how best to use models and other tools for planning purposes.
 In case input needed from states, NCS request could be limited to "achievable" data that states can provide given resource constraints.

2) Development of regional indicators ( may be relevant to NOAA program Regional Integrated Science and Assessments which is considered a viable model basis)

3) Research gaps addressed should include not only areas where additional observational
data is needed, but areas where federal analysis of the data is needed. Examples include:
 Baseline data on tidal elevations (e.g., restoration of tidal gauge system) on the Atlantic Coast, Delaware Bay, and other bays and estuaries extending inland along their entire tidal reaches.
 Mapping the geographic extent of tidal wetlands, including the full suite of saline, brackish and freshwater tidal marshes and swamps.
 Sediment transport and budget for wetlands – needed to support mitigation of loss of wetland area and flood retention functions.
 Ocean acidification – need a study similar to NOAA's ongoing Delaware Bay assessment for NY/NJ Harbor.
 Baseline shoreline data to provide latitude/longitude (LiDAR provides elevation) – overflights.
 Extensive groundtruthing of latitude/longitude/elevation data.
 Coordinated assessment of sea level rise’s cumulative impacts related to stormwater, tides and increasing storm surges.
 High-resolution coastal erosion data.
 Connecting climate research with water resources research.


Other Issues of Concern:

4) In establishing the NCS, there is a need to ensure coordination and collaboration among federal agencies:
 Ensure compatibility of databases. For example, USEPA and USGS database retrievals are now compatible, but NOAA’s is not (as it is proprietary).
 Ensure inclusion of all relevant agencies (e.g., USEPA, USGS, USFWS and USDA).
 Develop a consistent framework for the federal agencies to coordinate/collaborate within (e.g., how do they work together?).
 Designate a lead agency for each issue that states/locals can coordinate through.
 Engage local stakeholders, including states and local governments, throughout the planning and implementation phases.

5) Need for coordination of on-going efforts (federal, regional, state and local; government and non-government) in the field of climate change which NCS could facilitate/support:
 Climate-ready Estuaries Program.
 USEPA National Water Program Strategy: Response to Climate Change.
 U.S. Climate Change Science Program/Adaptation Taskforce – Water Resources Workgroup.
 NOAA Climate Impacts on Conservation
 USDOT- flooding impacts on federal infrastructure
 USDOD - regionalized sea level rise projections for USDOD to identify flooding impacts to military installations

6) NCS may need to interface with other key agencies to ensure consistent climate
information is provided across key sectors including wildlife and biodiversity:

 Shifts/migration in plant and animal species and habitat/ecological systems – need more data/systematic research to generate scientific conclusions – anecdotal data indicates species shifts.
 Interactions and combined impacts of climate change and other threatening processes.
 Identification of critical thresholds and approaches to increasing resilience to the impacts of climate change including connectivity, assisting gradual habitat transitions through management (to provide habitats for north-moving and/or elevational-shifting wildlife and flora).
 Identification of potential invasive plants and pathogens that may flourish and/or invade each state (e.g., local watch list per state) under the changing climate.

7) The foregoing suggestions imply that NCS could also serve as a national center for
climate change adaptation research and information with the following functional
objectives:
 Compiling a list of climate change-related work being conducted to prevent organizations and agencies from repeating efforts and to encourage sharing information and methods (list shall include description of work and contact information for project leader);
 Delivering the information to support climate change adaptation decision-making at the national, regional and local levels through coordination, integration, synthesis and communication of research;
 Coordinating the country's adaptation research resources to more effectively support climate change decision-making by brokering research partnerships and providing a platform to commission new research;
 Building the capacity of the national and state research communities to generate information relevant to decision makers;
 Communicating impacts to business organizations (e.g., hospitality industry, insurance industry, agriculture and fisheries), providing them baseline information so they can perform fiscal impacts of climate change;
 Establishing an interface between researchers, decision-makers and resource managers; and
 Promoting coordinated programs of work on impacts and adaptation across the country, working in collaboration with stakeholders and other researchers in national, regional and sectoral contexts.

Why the contribution is important

This submission is a collection of several ideas culled from discussions within our state agency and reflects some of the concrete needs identified by sectoral programs (e.g, water and wildlife) that are starting to address climate change adaptation issues. The proposed National Climate Service is seen as potentially a critical federal service/facility that would help address these needs.

Current rating

4.5
Average score : 4.5
Based on : 2 votes
skipstiles
Posted by skipstiles June 25, 2010 at 01:17PM

All great a good roadmap for what is needed. I am deeply involved in adaptation planning for sea level rise, so following comments are based on that.

I especially like those pieces that address reaching into and coordinating with other agencies. For example, USGS and FEMA map the coastal plain now and should drive that part, not NOAA, FWS needs to do the wetlands impact work - very important that we have status, elevation, and trend info. - let them do that, not NOAA. NOAA has a role to coordinate, they have lots to do with the coastal area characterization, impacts work, etc. but should NOT be the controller, central focus, etc - nor should any one agency.

Now, how to prioritize because doing all that above everywhere will take a $60 billion budget per year for ten years. Which functions come first? Where do we start - look at Maine and work south. Start with high inundation areas in mid-Atlantic/Virginia and work out?

That is what we need to do - come up with a plan, schedule, cost estimate, etc. Otherwise the funding will be distributed by zip code - meaning the zip codes closest to those who can earmark federal money will get what they want. NC got a $5 million FEMA earmark to do climate change impact work because their senator stuck it in a bill. We need a plan to counter this - a system of prioritizing.
skipstiles
Posted by skipstiles June 25, 2010 at 01:17PM

All great a good roadmap for what is needed. I am deeply involved in adaptation planning for sea level rise, so following comments are based on that.

I especially like those pieces that address reaching into and coordinating with other agencies. For example, USGS and FEMA map the coastal plain now and should drive that part, not NOAA, FWS needs to do the wetlands impact work - very important that we have status, elevation, and trend info. - let them do that, not NOAA. NOAA has a role to coordinate, they have lots to do with the coastal area characterization, impacts work, etc. but should NOT be the controller, central focus, etc - nor should any one agency.

Now, how to prioritize because doing all that above everywhere will take a $60 billion budget per year for ten years. Which functions come first? Where do we start - look at Maine and work south. Start with high inundation areas in mid-Atlantic/Virginia and work out?

That is what we need to do - come up with a plan, schedule, cost estimate, etc. Otherwise the funding will be distributed by zip code - meaning the zip codes closest to those who can earmark federal money will get what they want. NC got a $5 million FEMA earmark to do climate change impact work because their senator stuck it in a bill. We need a plan to counter this - a system of prioritizing.
ocedep
Posted by ocedep June 26, 2010 at 08:43PM
Additional note to idea submitted (as also noted by commenter):

On needed coordination at the federal level, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and Homeland Security needs to be included among the relevant agencies. Heightened storm surge due to sea level rise from global warming is one thing we are worried about. We suspect FEMA is worried about this too, at least in terms of the need to change flood hazard maps.

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